Why the Allies are gonna win Realism #3 (Now with Evidence!)

YoSpankDawg

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Reason Number 1:

Because I am on the Allied side.

Duh. Would you have expected anything less of me here? I am pretty legit and dedicated to winning. And...well...those of you who have seen me become dedicated to something--it's kinda scary.

Reason Number 2:

Superior Leadership.

No offense to Ravage here. However, you always have to wonder the mental sanity of somebody who chooses Dutchoper for anything, yet alone his third-in-command. What, was Zap Brannigan not available?

Meanwhile, on the other side, you've got (IO) SA who has help from (new Leadership member) Boyle, Efren, and Backstab. Not even on this list, while also likely soon-to-be lesser ranks, are Realism greats/veterans, such as Bad Brain, Blasphemy and of course, ronpaul (as well as others). I predict a real push for solid teamwork this session, which leads me to number three...

Reason Number 3:

A solid gameplan.

Even if I have to come up with something overly ornate myself, propose it to our leadership, and hope it sticks (and then actually works) as a sort of "new doctrine"...we're coming into this thing prepared. Losing is no longer an option. In fact...

Reason Number 4:

Moxie.

I dunno about the rest of my teammates, but I am sensing that there is going to be a real sense of "We just have to win this time. Period." throughout this session. Meanwhile, the Axis side will perhaps have the, "We've got this in the bag" feeling, which will hopefully lead to the saying, Pride cometh before the fall. It can be a scary thing what happens to people when they are backed up against a wall and...Allies just might be there now. I am not sure how many more times we can lose the world before it's too much.

Reason Number 5:

The numbers.

When it boils down to it, we SHOULD win. Check this out...this is each participant's current HLXstats score and their current K:D:
ALLIES
Boyle 22,273 2.10
Evo 16,634 3.51
Ronpaul 15,873 2.85
Bad Brain 15,076 2.16
Erich 14,665 1.69
Bl4sph3my 13,647 1.58
Gomezzz 12,524 2.18
CowboysNation22 12,417 1.80
(IO) SA 11,730 1.96
Efren 10,460 2.66
Wewo 9,467 1.25
Derv 8,969 1.76
Stealth Fighter 8,407 1.18
Backstab! 8,144 1.69
Skippy 7,633 1.61
Sircampalot 7,316 1.31
Silver Wolf 7,098 0.79
YoSpankDawg 6,862 1.22
Silent Ghost 6,730 0.89
Death_Keeper 6,671 0.77
Kiwi 6,141 1.01
Krazy1 6,115 1.31
Psychosoldier9 5,617 0.73
Bole 5,427 0.70
Attle 4,851 1.31
Gremlin 4,666 0.82
Olivares 4,484 0.78
Too_ Tall 4,423 1.05
Gavin_gillies 4,281 0.60
TSgt. Maverick 4,260 0.61
Stewie574 4,004 0.57
Trees 3,891 0.62
Mr. Boe Jangles 3,844 0.71
Bob-ert 3,544 0.46
Wilson!! 3,486 1.31
M3rryg0r0und 3,416 1.04
Some Random Guy 3,062 0.65
Flashlightis 3,052 0.46
Quarantine 3,037 0.88
Cheesequeso 2,401 0.38
Orangejuice 2,927 0.42
Ashley 2,347 0.25

AXIS
BlueStealth 19,505 2.52
TC (Sniper 4) 16,180 1.97
Sabion 15,835 2.95
Ravage 14,046 2.09
Sumac 12,473 2.14
Dutchoper72 11,069 1.22
BlackBird 10,412 1.37
Bergen 9,914 1.84
Bane 9,087 1.49
Ziegenpeter 8,930 1.49
Megs A Tagger 8,697 1.72
Greenlight Terror 8,552 0.96
Lungbuster4417 8,230 1.35
-Bloodshot- 8,000 1.18
PrimeZERO 7,962 1.08
Spartacus Legolas 7,799 1.44
Zacharias 7,479 0.80
Fatman 7,432 1.52
Tomi87 7,026 0.85
STORMY 6,909 1.03
Reverend Rhah 6,813 1.11
Geno-Knight 6,811 1.17
Chili_dude96 6,689 0.63
Major Payne 6,535 0.91
Superglue-Chelsea FC 6,301 1.38
Dr. Compton 6,120 0.87
Smilodon 6,055 0.91
Death 5,877 1.56
Commando Vlaskiyov 5,794 1.09
NastyNate 5,455 1.24
Cullmann 5,390 0.76
12esistance 4,722 0.82
Racing88 4,464 0.51
Mikkel 4,208 0.84
ShadowBlade72 4,146 0.86
Kevimaster 3,491 0.74
Bay Area 3,166 0.46
TheBrainwasher 3,017 0.43
Vexx 2,758 0.45
Vanilla 1,089 0.76
LJackstar 1,045 0.52
Oberst543 1,027 0.45

Based on the numbers, the average Allied participant has a score of 7,425, compared to the average Axis score of 7,172. These numbers are close, true, but at the same time not as close as you'd think. Oh, also, the average Allied K:D compared to Axis is 1.23 to 1.18 (which is close enough, really). Regardless of what the spread is, Allies have the numerical advantage.

Also, check this out. If you just take the top 16 from each team (highly improbably, but still plausible) and compare them to each other, as in a situation where JUST the "best" players competed all six weeks, the spread is even bigger. The average score for a "top" Allied player is 12,202 points and for an Axis it is 11,043. I understand that picking up another 1,200 points is possible in just a few days (though still a bit impressive) for a player, but when you look at this being the average high-end Ally compared to the average high-end Axis...that's a very large spread. The K:D isn't as bad, but it, too, is uneven. Allies have an advantage there too, 1.96 to 1.68.

Now, I know that numbers don't mean everything, and perhaps don't mean anything (especially since this is Realism, not normal play). Don't get me wrong. I am just saying let's get this done Allies, cause on paper, we're better.



...now we've just gotta prove it.
 
the biggest deciding factor is which side the maps favour, and unfortunatly its usually axis, so a slight skill advantage probably won't mean too much
 
I would just like to note (And yes, Im a Cowboys fan, so this stings a little) that the Cowboys were better on paper than a lot of teams, yet we're tied for the worst record in the NFL. And the only reason we're tied is because we gave a winless team their first win.

Also the Axis leadership is more experienced, Ravage had Dutchoper and Bane with him last Campaign, IO has gotten two new officers in Boyle and Efren.
 
Nice work, but i think the concensus is that you either need a new hobby, a girlf friend, both, or maybe some professional help. Until then ill be looking forward to your next report.
 
I always admire the effort you put into these things. I'm not going to knock on your social life because honestly I'd be doing the same things if I had the time and I think its cool, thumbs up buddy.

I do think our time has come, and I'd like to believe that if the Allies win it'll be because I trained up IO (haha gooo IO) but he was already rock steady. Backstab is going to anchor the team, Boyle is our renowned hero from several maps last campaign, Brain and Gomezzz are sick shots and Blasphemy has an elder leadership role for sure. There's good things to say about every Allied soldier this time around, it's really exciting.

I won't write off the Axis just yet, but the Allied composition looks solid and I'm pumped to see how we gel.
 
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hey you cant judge me by my rank....

I literally just started playing this game...

But there are a few that think I have natural talent, just judge me on how I do...
 
You forgot one factor...

Axis won previously... both times.

Your move.
 
and i forget say axis got 4 maniac finnish people who will destroy allies :)
 
You forgot one factor...

Axis won previously... both times.

Your move.

Bad evidence, that's like saying a coin toss will be Heads because it was Heads last time. The circumstances have changed completely, precedence is irrelevant.
 
the biggest deciding factor is which side the maps favour, and unfortunatly its usually axis, so a slight skill advantage probably won't mean too much

Well yeah, but I didn't title this "Why the Allies are going to win and the biggest disadvantages they will have to overcome to do so"...

Holy... just one question... how long did this take you??
YSD, I'm going to say what everyone thinks. You have too much spare time.
Nice work, but i think the concensus is that you either need a new hobby, a girlf friend, both, or maybe some professional help. Until then ill be looking forward to your next report.

Every time I do a post where I actually research stuff, I get this. Guys--get over it. First of all, it takes a lot less time than you'd think. Second, as you'll see if you look at the posts I have made in the past (that were a lot more in-depth), I can't stand just sitting around, so while I am watching the news or something, I get this done too. It was a half-hour I was going to piss away anyways...

I would just like to note (And yes, Im a Cowboys fan, so this stings a little) that the Cowboys were better on paper than a lot of teams, yet we're tied for the worst record in the NFL. And the only reason we're tied is because we gave a winless team their first win.

Also the Axis leadership is more experienced, Ravage had Dutchoper and Bane with him last Campaign, IO has gotten two new officers in Boyle and Efren.

Cowboys were better on paper to Cowboys fans and people who think they can just do no wrong (the press loves em). lol I saw this coming a mile away, especially after the first preseason game.

Ashley 2,347 0.25
That looks like a low K/D to me on the allies!

Yeah I dunno how CSS kids snuck into this thing, but I guess we take them under our wings. Axis wouldn't have letter her make the cut for the Arian race.

You forgot one factor...

Axis won previously... both times.

Your move.

Teams were different. I am 1-1 in realism cause I have been on both sides. Does that mean this one is going to be a perfect 50-50 tie?

Your move.
 
hmm since spanky is trying to say the allies have better odds there is one thing you should never do. Don't underestimate the enemy!

P.S I am better then you :P
Dutchoper72 11,069 1.22
YoSpankDawg 6,862 1.22

also i am more of fry then zapp
 
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hmm since spanky is trying to say the allies have better odds there is one thing you should never do. Don't underestimate the enemy!

P.S I am better then you :P
Dutchoper72 11,069 1.22
YoSpankDawg 6,862 1.22

also i am more of fry then zapp

Haha. The numbers don't always tell the truth. "Better than me" huh? I'd take that bet.
 
Rule #5: Never underestimate your opponent
Rule #8: Never take anything for granted
Rule #27: Two ways to follow: — First way they never notice you, — second way they only notice you
 

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